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UGG ブーツ 正規品 the interest could not be reduced

. Amazingly, U.S. stocks rebound,UGG ブーツ 人気, bonds actually out of a bull market. In fact, the trick available Bernanke has been quite limited. Fed interest rate has been reduced to 0 to 0.25%, the interest could not be reduced; dollar exchange rate has remained at historically low levels, the exchange rate policy is to run out of steam; quantitative easing have on the market and stimulate the economy have some effect, but not waiting for the exit, economic has been prodding it. Pushed QE3, the Fed met with an unprecedented internal resistance, congressional and media criticism is also prevalent. August non-farm payrolls data, there has been this year, never had zero growth, confirms the extremely slow economic recovery, recession risks rise significantly in fact, the trick available Bernanke has been quite limited. Fed interest rate has been reduced to 0 to 0.25%, the interest could not be reduced; dollar exchange rate has remained at historically low levels, the exchange rate policy is to run out of steam; quantitative easing have on the market and stimulate the economy have some effect, but not waiting for the exit, economic has been prodding it. Pushed QE3,UGG ブーツ 正規品, the Fed met with an unprecedented internal resistance, congressional and media criticism is also prevalent. Sound has been enhanced. However, I believe the Fed is still subject to inflation and opposition politics. After September 20 to 21 regular adjustment of the portfolio in bonds, increasing the likelihood of risk weights greater than the implementation of QE3. Empty city, is the legendary Zhuge Liang, the classic history. But did not result in reversal of the historical process, Shu still perished. The weak U.S. economy, not because of the emergence of QE3 or KongChengJi essential turning point. However, with current consumption and production data,UGG ブーツ 人気, the weak recovery trend is still maintained, nor the possibility of a double-dip large probabilities. This article originally appeared in this magazine, is personal opinion, not any solicitation or investment advice. August non-farm payrolls data, there has been this year, never had zero growth, confirms the extremely slow economic recovery, significantly increased the risk of recession. Female employment is the recovery, 14 million unemployed people are not properly disposed of, is bound to weaken consumer confidence, investment hardly started naturally difficult real estate market, the economy into a vicious circle. I believe that in all the negative factors, structural unemployment and the bank "disintermediation", but the core of the problem, but also the transmission mechanism of monetary policy loses. The Fed's monetary policy is now, like trying to push a rope in front of the object, the effectiveness can be imagined. Under the policy lapsed, subject to post-war economic slowest, most tortuous recovery, it is not difficult to understand. Bernanke JacksonHole the city wall, incense Caoqin, smiling. Left with a boy, holding a sword, and right there is a boy, holding a stag tail. There are more than twenty people, down sweep, near absence of people. Short generals shocked, "Arbour his life carefully, empty city will be a fraud," Ji Ling retreat. Bernanke at the annual meeting of the Fed sang an empty city, neither QE3, there is no other new policy initiatives, even last year, the practice set out the various options, do not bother to mention this year, but extended the next Fed meeting time
。神奇的是,美股止跌反弹,国债市场竟走出一轮牛市。其实,伯南克的可用之招已经相当有限。联储利率已降至0~0.25%,利息已减无可减;美元汇率已徘徊在历史低位,UGG ブーツ 正規品,汇率政策也到强弩之末;量化宽松政策曾经对市场和经济有一些刺激效果,可是未等退出,经济已打回原形了。再推QE3,在联储内部遭遇到空前的抗拒,国会与媒体的批评声也不绝于耳。八月非农业就业数据,出现了今年未曾有过的零增长,印证了经济复苏极其缓慢,衰退风险明显升其实,伯南克的可用之招已经相当有限。联储利率已降至0~0.25%,利息已减无可减;美元汇率已徘徊在历史低位,汇率政策也到强弩之末;量化宽松政策曾经对市场和经济有一些刺激效果,可是未等退出,经济已打回原形了。再推QE3,在联储内部遭遇到空前的抗拒,国会与媒体的批评声也不绝于耳。声有所增强。不过笔者相信联储仍受制于通货膨胀与政治上的反对声音。9月20日至21日例会之后,调整资产组合中债券的年期,加大风险权重的可能性大过实施QE3。空城计,乃诸葛孔明之传奇,历史之经典,UGG ブーツ 店舗。但是历史进程并未因此而逆转,UGG ブーツ アウトレット,蜀国照样亡国了。美国经济的弱势,不会因为QE3或空城计而出现本质性的拐点。不过,以目前的消费、生产数据来看,弱复苏的态势依然维持,两次探底也非大概率的可能性。本文原载于今周刊,为个人观点,アグ モカシン,并非任何劝诱或投资建议。八月非农业就业数据,出现了今年未曾有过的零增长,印证了经济复苏极其缓慢,衰退风险明显升高。就业乃复苏之母,1400万失业人口得不到妥善处置,消费信心势必弱化,投资亦难展开,房地产市场自然举步维艰,经济陷入恶性循环。笔者认为,在各个负面因素中,结构性失业和银行“去中介化”,乃是问题的核心,也使货币政策失去了传导机制。联储现在的货币政策,好比试图用绳子来推动眼前的物体,成效可想而知。政策失效之下,经济受制于战后最缓慢、最曲折的复苏,便不难理解。伯南克在JacksonHole的城头,UGG ブーツ アウトレット,焚香操琴,笑容可掬。左有一童子,手捧宝剑,UGG ブーツ 店舗,右有一童子,手执麈尾。有二十余百姓,アグ モカシン,低头洒扫,傍若无人。空头将领大惊,“阿伯平生谨慎,空城必有诈”,急令退兵。伯南克在联储年会上唱了一出空城计,既没有QE3,也没有其它新的政策举措,连去年罗列出各种选择的做法,今年也懒得再提,只是延长了下次联储开会的时间
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